EURUSD
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EURUSD

Dashboard Overview

EURUSD Analysis
The bears are firmly in control here. The long-term cycle, macro, valuation, yields and positioning, are all aligned to the downside.The only pushback comes from risk appetite, cross-asset flows and FX Breadths, which are keeping things from being a complete one-way street.
Bottom line: this is one of the cleaner bearish setups the framework has produced. Look for selling opportunities on rallies.
Strong majority of signals aligned, with only short-term risk dynamics offering any resistance.
Updated on 31-05-2026
Conviction: 7/10 — Bearish
Long Term Cycle - Bearish

Macroecomics

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Macro Differentials

Economic Cycle 1Y Trend - EU negative/US Positive
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Purchasing Power Parity

PPP Fair Value 1.1300 - Historical Avg 1.0300
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Yield Spreads

EU/US Spread - 2Y Yield Real Yield Rate Expectations

Fundamental

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COT Net-Positions

Combination Extremes - 3 Years 1 Year 3 Months
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Risk Behaviour

3M Trend - SPX/10Y GC/HG NFCI US Rate Exp.
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Asset Correlations

3M Trend - Stocks Gold Bonds Commodities

Timing

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Average Seasonality

Yearly Seasonality - 15 Years 10 Years 5 Years
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FX Breadths

EUR vs USD - EUR YoY EUR MoM EUR WoW
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Percentage Changes

EURUSD % Changes - Yearly Quarterly Monthly